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Ardia, David
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Ardia, David
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Macroeconomic stress-testing of mortgage default rate using a vector error correction model and entropy pooling
2016, Ardia, David, Guerrouaz, Anas, Rey, Jeanne
We propose a methodology to perform macroeconomic stress-testing on the probability of default of a given borrowers’ population (i.e., aggregate probability of default) through simulation from a vector error correction model and entropy pooling (Meucci, 2008).